Planning deviations occur when underlying assumptions fail or unexpected events materialize: a forwarder estimates transit times based on normal traffic, but an accident blocks the highway; a warehouse operator plans capacity for a set throughput, but a major customer doubles its requirements overnight; a customs broker expects routine clearance, but cargo inspection delays release.
Source: https://www.iso.org/iso-31000-risk-management.html
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P50/P80 transit times for sea, air and road — sourced and confidence-rated, not a carrier quote.
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